The Black & Gold Standard is an all-new VandyRadio Blog featuring general commentary and advanced statistical breakdowns following every Vanderbilt Men’s Basketball game. Robbie Weinstein of The Homefield Advantage (along with, on occasion, Max Herz and Dan Helinek) will be bringing you the best analysis of Commodore basketball throughout the season as the team chases a postseason berth for the first time since 2012. Check out the Black & Gold Standard for all kinds of new content as the young ‘Dores fight through the 2014-15 schedule.
Last year, I made my first attempt at predicting the NCAA tournament bracket, an art form known as “Bracketology.” After scoring surprisingly well and outperforming prominent Bracketologists such as ESPN’s Joe Lunardi and CBS’s Jerry Palm, I figured I’d try my hand once again this year. Here is my midseason Bracketology, with the following caveats:
– At this point in the year, many power conference teams have not played a strong schedule and as a result have very few, if any, good wins. Ohio State, TCU, and Notre Dame are among the teams who should make a jump as they get more opportunities for quality wins during their respective conference seasons. Currently, however, I have to evaluate the teams as they currently stand, so there isn’t a whole lot of quality around the bubble right now.
– Similarly, numerous teams from outside the power conferences play difficult nonconference schedules every year in order to put together a strong enough résumé to compete with the big boys come March. These teams get a temporary because they’ve simply played better teams and gotten better wins to this point in the season. Examples of these teams include Colorado State, Temple, and Green Bay.
I will be releasing at least two more editions of my Bracketology: one midway through SEC play and one just prior to the NCAA tournament selection show. Vanderbilt has some work to do and I did not seriously consider them for a spot due to the Commodores’ weak strength of schedule and lack of quality wins.
Projected conference champions listed in all caps, and tournament sites are listed above the games they correspond with. I will release my “S-curve” (my ranking of all 68 teams) on Twitter via @robsw4.
Midwest
LOUISVILLE
1 KENTUCKY
16 TEXAS SOUTHERN/NEW MEXICO ST
8 Dayton
9 Providence
JACKSONVILLE
4 Texas
13 EASTERN WASHINGTON
5 Maryland
12 GEORGIA ST
OMAHA
3 KANSAS
14 MURRAY ST
6 Arkansas
11 Minnesota
COLUMBUS
7 George Washington
10 Georgetown
2 Louisville
15 LBSU
East
CHARLOTTE
1 UVA
16 COASTAL CAROLINA/DENVER
8 Colorado St
9 Byu
JACKSONVILLE
4 Iowa St
13 STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
5 Seton Hall
12 Illinois/Georgia Tech
SEATTLE
3 Utah
14 HOFSTRA
6 North Carolina
11 GREEN BAY
OMAHA
7 Unlv
10 St. John’s
2 WISCONSIN
15 NC CENTRAL
South
CHARLOTTE
1 Duke
16 AMERICAN
8 Baylor
9 Stanford
PORTLAND
4 Washington
13 HARVARD
5 SAN DIEGO ST
12 Miami/Tcu
PITTSBURGH
3 OLD DOMINION
14 WOFFORD
6 WICHITA ST
11 Penn St
PORTLAND
7 Iowa
10 TEMPLE
2 ARIZONA
15 FGCU
West
PITTSBURGH
1 VILLANOVA
16 VERMONT
8 Notre Dame
9 Oklahoma
LOUISVILLE
4 WICHITA ST
13 BUFFALO
5 West Virginia
12 Cincinnati
COLUMBUS
3 VCU
14 IONA
6 Lsu
11 Indiana
SEATTLE
7 Georgia
10 Butler
2 GONZAGA
15 ST. FRANCIS (PA)
Last four in: Illinois, TCU, Miami, Georgia Tech
First four out: Syracuse, NC State, Xavier, California
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